AI boom ‘needs gas as well as green power and nuclear’, claims oil chief

But booming data centre demand and decarbonisation goals of tech giants also provide strong incentive for oil companies to increase investments in renewables, he says

Sultan Al Jaber is the CEO of UAE oil giant Adnoc and also chairs the country's national renewables champion Masdar.
Sultan Al Jaber is the CEO of UAE oil giant Adnoc and also chairs the country's national renewables champion Masdar.Photo: Masdar

Renewables and nuclear won’t be able to meet the “megatrend” of surging power demand from AI data centres alone, said Abu Dhabi National Oil Company CEO Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, insisting that gas will also have a key role to play.

Speaking at the opening of the ADIPEC conference in Abu Dhabi on Monday, Al Jaber said the energy industry stands “at the dawn of a new era of hope and possibility, defined by three megatrends.”

“First, the rise of the Global South and emerging markets. Second, the transformation of energy systems. And third, the exponential growth of Artificial Intelligence (AI).”

“These three megatrends present mega opportunities that demand mega solutions,” said Al Jaber, who is also the minister of industry and advanced technology of the United Arab Emirates and chair of the country’s national renewables developer Masdar.

Al Jaber was also chair of the previous COP climate summit in the UAE, at which global leaders reached a historic agreement to triple renewables by 2030 to keep a 1.5°C pathway within reach.

Al Jaber described AI as an “era-defining breakthrough that is changing the pace of change itself,” bringing with it the potential to “accelerate the transformation of energy systems and to supercharge low carbon growth.”

“But the exponential growth of AI is also creating a power surge that no one anticipated 18 months ago. And that’s when ChatGPT took off.”

“A single prompt on ChatGPT needs 10 times more energy than a Google Search and as AI expands it will rely on a massive scale-up of data centres for its huge and fast-growing computational needs.”

“Over the next six years, data centres will more than double requiring at least 150GW of installed capacity by 2030 and double that again by 2040.”

Recent research has found that by 2050, AI data centres could need more power than the entire US uses today. The booming power demands of AI have been labelled a near-$1tn opportunity for the renewables sector in the US and Europe alone.

“No single source of energy is going to be enough to meet this demand,” said Al Jaber. “We need to integrate renewable energy, nuclear energy and gas in the most cost and carbon-efficient way.”

The CEO of wind turbine-making giant GE Vernova recently said that gas with the potential for future decarbonisation is the technology best placed to meet gigascale data centre demand in the short term. Wind power and small modular nuclear reactors would kick in later as the tech giants including Amazon, Google and Microsoft race to meet their own climate goals.
In an interview with the Financial Times, Al Jaber said that the rising power demands of AI give a major incentive to oil companies to increase their investments in renewables.
Oil majors including BP and Shell have cooled their interest in green power lately, lured back to their core fossil fuels businesses after the war in Ukraine and the resulting energy crisis resulted in windfall oil and gas profits.
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Published 4 November 2024, 12:41Updated 4 November 2024, 12:43
Sultan Ahmed Al JaberAdnocMasdarUnited Arab EmiratesMiddle East