'Too late, too costly': world's largest steelmaker likes look of biomass not green hydrogen

Top executive from ArcelorMittal says other options currently better placed than renewable H2 for decarbonisation

General view of ArcelorMittal in the port of Ghent, Belgium.
General view of ArcelorMittal in the port of Ghent, Belgium.Foto: NurPhoto/NurPhoto via Getty Images

Green hydrogen from renewables will be too expensive for too long to help Europe's steel industry decarbonise in time, claimed a top executive from the world’s largest steelmaker who said alternatives based around biomass currently look a better bet.

“The costs and economics of making steel using [green] H2 are very expensive today,” said ArcelorMittal vice president and head of strategy David Clarke.

“We’re looking at least on a 10- if not 20-year horizon before we see those economics being positive. We don’t have that kind of timescale in which to make some meaningful dent in emissions from steelmaking, at least in Europe,” Clarke told the BNEF Summit.

The massively-energy intensive steel industry is held up as one of the hard-to-abate sectors ripe for decarbonisation by using H2 produced via electrolysis powered by renewables to transform its coke-heavy processes. But Clarke said while ArcelorMittal is not ruling hydrogen out, it is also exploring other routes.

“If hydrogen was to come down in cost much quicker than most people see, we would be the first to be cheerleaders. But when we look at it from all directions, it’s a long way out, and we need to do something much sooner

“Whenever we stack it up against other potential solutions the other solutions are superior from a cost perspective for 10 if not 20 years.

“We’re going to have to use vectors other than hydrogen, because it’s not going to be ready, or available or cost effective.”

One of those options, bioenergy with carbon capture & storage (BECCS) (see panel), “ticks many boxes” with advantages potentially including allowing steelmaking to become not just carbon neutral, but negative and a “carbon sink”, Clarke told the BNEF event.

ArcelorMittal, which in Europe has set a target to reduce emissions by 30% by 2030, is also looking at options for what he called direct electrolysis, a technique which removes the need for hydrogen at all as an “intermediary step” between renewable power and the steelmaking process.

Asked at what level of cost green H2 would begin to become competitive, Clarke said at “scenarios where you can get hydrogen well below a dollar per kilogram then things can change”.

Renewable hydrogen is currently generally reckoned to cost at least $2.50 per kilogram even under the most favorable production scenarios, with a wide variety of opinions over how far and fast that will fall.

Clarke added that policy changes could also alter the landscape quickly if game-changing moves emerge around carbon pricing, or measures to create a European financial ‘border’ to level the playing field with steel produced less sustainably elsewhere.

Orsted's Neubert upbeat

On the same panel, Orsted chief commercial officer and deputy CEO Martin Neubert struck a more bullish note for the prospects of green H2.

Although regulatory hurdles remain and the sector needs to scale up fast, Neubert said renewable hydrogen “shows a lot of similarities” with offshore wind, “which a decade ago was considered a very expensive R&D experiment in the North Sea.”

The Orsted executive said “we showed in less than a decade that the industry can become zero-subsidy, and a cost-effective means of large-scale renewable energy production”.

Neubert pointed out that the steel industry could see early demand for green steel in sectors such as automotive as consumers look to make sustainable choices when car buying.

Orsted is involved in a clutch of major projects seeking to link large-scale offshore wind power with green H2 production. One of them, seeking to supply one of Europe’s largest industrial clusters in the Dutch-Belgian border region, is itself backed by ArcelorMittal.
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Published 17 May 2021, 14:04Updated 17 May 2021, 14:18
OrstedArcelorMittal